V5 Stats

Power Emini ES Momentum System Trade Alert History

The Alert History below goes back to the inception of the current version of the Alert Software v 5.0. The stats show each alert that came through the system, but keep in mind traders are at different levels and can employ different tactics and money management rules in their approach to the system. Different traders will end up with different results based off the same alerts using different scaling and stop placement techniques.

The number of Contracts traded and the scaling methodology you choose to employ affects the results significantly. You can use a different stop than the system at any time. We encourage you to use a little discretion here and there which can improve the results of these “raw stats”.

*stats updated at the end of each month

How to Interpret the Performance Stats

The worksheet shows the results for trading each Alert, entering with 2-3-4 contracts and shooting for the 2 Targets and also using the Trailing Stop (Trail)

The basic strategy is to trade 2 Contracts and Sell 1 contract at Target 1 and the other at Target 2 using the main system trailing stop. This strategy has a high win rate and is simple to manage and easy on the nerves to start out.

In the worksheet above you will see the Target 1 and Target 2 columns shaded green for Alerts that hit the targets and you will see the number of points gained / lost on each Alert in the T1 and T2 columns. The Exit column shows the level where the Trailing Stop was hit or the cash session close when the stop was never hit that session. The NET column shows the total point gain / loss for that alert.

How to Trade Along with the Momentum System Purely Mechanically

To keep things real basic and the initial risk low we recommend EVERYONE get started following the Momentum Breakout System with only 2 Micro contracts and take profits at Target 1 and Target 2 – using the main wide system Trailing Stop. Target #1 has roughly a 75% chance of getting hit and Target 2 will get hit about 30-40% of the time for BIG POINTS.

Once you’re comfortable with trading the system and have full confidence in the “edge” it provides, we have a specific “Trade Plan” in the Help section that shows you how to scale up the number of Contracts you trade.

Note that trading 3 Contracts, selling 2 at T1 and 1 at T2 insures that any Alert that hits T1 will be profitable.

Every Alert that hits Target 1 is considered a winner.

Many Users Will Do Much Better Than The Alert History Stats

One of the main challenges of posting “Official Trade Stats” based off of Automated System Alerts is that not everyone will trade the signals in the exact same way. In other words, unless every variable, i.e. position size, initial stop placement, trailing stop rules, scaling methodology etc. is strictly quantified, for every single trade, the concept of “Official Trade Results” doesn’t mean much. Traders are at different levels and can employ different tactics and money management rules in their approach to the system. Different traders can end up with different results based off the same alerts using different scaling and stop placement techniques.

And there will frequently be slippage both in our favor and against us, which essentially evens out over a large number of trades.

Actual “total point” results will differ based on the number of Contracts traded and how you choose to scale out. There are tons of different Contract scaling variations and we encourage adjusting your aggressiveness based on market conditions.

There are other ways to improve “real life” results compared to the basic strategy and raw stats shown above.

An example would be using a “tighter stop” than the system “maximum stop” of 18.00 points rather than risking a full stop-out on those rare occasions where the max stop is in play.

You can choose to use a tighter stop than the system at any time – especially in cases where the price is sandwiched in between Target 1 and Target 2. If price stalls out or starts trading sideways between the Targets you could choose to close the trade with a gain at any time.

There are other things to note. For example these are session where ES came within 1-tick of a Target and didn’t make it, but MES did actually hit the Target. So the results above might show a breakeven trade whereas if you were trading MES and got a fill, the result would have been a significant point gain.

Similarly, other Alerts show Target 1 getting hit but not T2. However the price may have made a significant move past T1 and in real-life, it would have been advantageous to use a tighter stop – or even perhaps just taken the profit – rather than let the remaining contract go all the way to the Trailing Stop. For instance, say an Alert hit the first Target and continued to move 15 points past the Entry – but Target 2 was 18 points. You could have chosen to use a tighter stop – and captured say 12 points while the stats show a “breakeven” at T1.

There are a bunch of times the price came very close to Target 2 but the stats above just show T1 getting hit – but you could have easily grabbed significant extra points using just a little discretion.

There are any number of ways to “use a little discretion” and improve your results, compared to the purely mechanical results above.

There are certain Alerts where it makes sense to trade just 1 Contract. At times when the market is extremely volatile, Target 1 might be 15 points. Under normal circumstances that would be roughly the distance to Target 2 – so it might make sense to just trade 1 contract and shoot for Target 1 and call it a win.

Another example might be to “hang on for a bigger move” by pro-actively managing the stop – rather than taking profits at the exact Targets in a strongly trending market. Some sessions the price will just “blow through Target 1” and if you didn’t have a sell order already in place, you may have captured more points than Target 1 shows.

Scaling the number of contracts traded based on current market conditions, is one of the primary discretionary tactics we recommend.

Also consider that that no trader is going to be able to take every single Alert. In real-life people have Doctors and Dentists appointments and other things that will prevent them from being in front of the screen trading every single market session of the year. So certain Alerts will be missed and that will change the real-life results from what you see above.

In certain cases it may make sense to just “skip this Alert” when price action is suspect or there’s an atypical market open.

The Alert History stats on this page reflect the raw Alerts produced by the ES Momentum System since the new version 5.0 was released about 3-months into this year. Some of the logic was modified and improved in June so everything prior to that doesn’t reflect how the alerts will play out going forward.

The raw stats are useful in determining what to expect, but many users can expect to do a lot better using a little discretion and some basic common sense strategies. We have a whole section in the Help / Documentation on different discretionary tactics you can use when trading the Alerts. The system is very flexible.

PowerEmini Alert Software For Futures Day Traders

A Product of Investing Systems, Inc. – In business over 24 Years