Power Emini ES Momentum System Trade Alert History
The Alert History below goes back to the inception of the current version of the Alert Software v 4.7.0. The algo logic was modified significantly in v4.7 so prior history is no longer relevant. In other words the current system is going to generate alerts that play out completely differently going forward than all prior versions. The stats below show each alert that came through the system, but keep in mind traders are at different levels and can employ different tactics and money management rules in their approach to the system. Different traders will end up with different results based off the same alerts using different scaling and stop placement techniques. We also encourage you to use a little discretion, which should improve on the results you see below.
*stats are typically updated over the weekend
How to Interpret the Performance Stats
The worksheet shows the results for trading each Alert, entering with 2 contracts and just shooting for Target 1 and Target 2.
Sell 1 contract at Target 1 and the other at Target 2 and use the main system trailing stop. This strategy has a high win rate and is simple to manage and easy on the nerves. You can set easily up an ATM strategy that places the sell orders at the targets and sets the stop – then you simply drag your orders on the chart to the proper levels.
In the worksheet above you will see the Target 1 and Target 2 columns shaded green for Alerts that hit the targets and you will see the number of points gained / lost on each Alert in the T1 and T2 columns. The Exit column shows the level where the Trailing Stop was hit when price didn’t make it to both targets. The NET column shows the total point gain / loss for that alert.
How to Trade Along with the Momentum System Purely Mechanically
To keep things real basic and the initial risk low we recommend EVERYONE get started following the Momentum Breakout System with only 2 Micro contracts and take profits at Target 1 and Target 2 – using the main wide system Trailing Stop. Target #1 has roughly a 75% chance of getting hit and Target 2 will get hit about 35-40% of the time for a significant point gain. Please see our Momentum System Trade Plan for a step-by-step guide to getting started with the Momentum System.
Many Users Will Do Better Than The Alert History Stats
One of the main challenges of posting “Official Trade Stats” based off of Automated System Alerts is that not everyone will trade the signals in the exact same way. In other words, unless every variable, i.e. position size, initial stop placement, delta targets, trailing stop rules, scaling methodology etc. is strictly quantified, for every single trade, the concept of “Official Trade Results” is meaningless. Traders are at different levels and can employ different tactics and money management rules in their approach to the system. Different traders can end up with different results based off the same alerts and use different scaling and stop placement techniques.
There are several other things to consider when analyzing the stats above.
The stats do not take into account any “Runner Contracts”. Once a trader has graduated past the basic 2 Contract strategy and starts trading additional contracts, the results will be different.
For instance – Here’s an example of an Alert that a 3 (or more) Contract trader may have captured a significant point gain past Target 2 holding a Runner:
As you see, the market extended its move well past Target 2 – and the Trailing Stop was never hit during the market session – in which case the trade is closed at the cash session market close.
There are other ways to improve “real life” results compared to the basic strategy and raw stats shown above.
An example would be using a “tighter stop” less than the system “fixed max stop” of 18.00 points under certain conditions, rather than risking the full system stop-out. Eliminating a handful of max stop-outs can increase the results dramatically. A trader can choose to use a tighter stop then the system stop at any time – especially in cases where the price is sandwiched in between Target 1 and Target 2.
Note that on 8/21/23 the ES came within 1-tick of Target 2, but MES actually hit T2. So the results above show a +3.00 point gain (breakeven trade) whereas if you were trading MES and got a fill, the result would have been a +20.50 point gain.
Similarly, other Alerts show Target 1 getting hit but not T2. However the price may have made a significant move past T1 and in real-life, it would have been advantageous to use a tighter stop – or even perhaps just taken the profit – rather than let the remaining contract go all the way to the Trailing Stop. For instance, say an Alert hit the first Target and continued to move 15 points past the Entry – but Target 2 was 18 points. You could have chosen to use a tighter stop – and captured say 12 points while the stats show a “breakeven” at T1.
There are any number of ways to “use a little discretion” and improve your results, compared to the purely mechanical results above.
There are certain Alerts where it makes sense to trade just 1 Contract. At times when the market is extremely volatile, Target 1 might be 15 points. Under normal circumstances that would be roughly the distance to Target 2 – so it might make sense to just trade 1 contract and shoot for Target 1 and call it a win.
Another example might be to “hang on for a bigger move” by pro-actively managing the stop – rather than taking profits at the exact Targets in a strongly trending market. Some sessions the price will just “blow through Target 1” and if you didn’t have a sell order already in place, you may have captured more points than Target 1 shows.
Scaling the number of contracts traded based on current market conditions, is one of the primary discretionary tactics we recommend.
Also consider that that no trader is going to be able to take every single Alert. In real-life people have Doctors and Dentists appointments and other things that will prevent them from being in front of the screen trading every single market session of the year. So certain Alerts will be missed and that will change the real-life results from what you see above.
In certain cases it may make sense to just “skip this Alert” when price action is suspect or there’s an atypical market open.
The Alert History stats on this page reflect the raw Alert produced by the ES Momentum System since the new version 4.7.0 was released. It’s useful in determining what to expect, but many users can expect to do a lot better using a little discretion and some basic common sense strategies. We have a whole section in the Help / Documentation on different discretionary tactics you can use when trading the Alerts.
The New Version of the Alert Software runs like a finely-tuned machine – in real-time