Power Emini Commentary – Notes – Education – Examples
This is the Power Emini “Notes” section. Below you’ll find ongoing commentary, trade examples, charts and general short-form random posts. This page gets updated every few days, so check back soon.
Market Holiday Tomorrow – Good Friday
4/2/2026
As you know, tomorrow is a market Holiday and that caused a little glitch in the software between last night’s close and today’s open. It wasn’t a big deal and we were able to sort things out on the fly but you may have noticed some odd behavior prior to the cash session open today.
The issue was that tomorrow is the first market Holiday since we rebuilt everything for this new version 5.0 and our data provider shows today listed as an “abbreviated session”. That’s probably because at 16:00 hours this evening the Futures won’t start trading like they normally do each evening. We have the back-end system programmed so that the system doesn’t start up – and stays offline on abbreviated sessions – like Holidays where the market closes early and only trades a half-day.
So at the close yesterday the system thought today was going to be an “abbreviated session” Holiday too. We had to rework some things on the fly this morning since everything is fully automated on the back-end.
The good news is that we’ve implemented the long-term solution and there won’t be any issue going forward. The system now knows how to handle upcoming Holidays in the future.
This morning’s session was pretty wild. There was a huge overnight sell-off and an initial down move shortly after the open today. The system gave a Short Alert that hit Target 1 and then the market reversed and ripped higher. So the tightened Trailing stop got hit on the short and then there was a Long alert that hit both Targets. While Target 2 was 22.50 points over the Entry, it almost looked like nothing compared to the continuation move higher after it got hit.
Here’s what the software looked like today right before lunch.
Just look at that “positive traction”, wow. Almost a hundred points of positive excursion from the Entry on that Alert.
I hope you have a great 3-day weekend and I’ll see you back here next week.
POST IN PROGRESS – CHECK BACK LATER FOR FINAL EDIT
The Momentum System Provides a Statistical Edge
It’s similar to the house odds in Vegas.
The “edge” comes from a combination of the software logic itself and the strategy we developed for trading the alerts.
More specifically, the edge comes from a combination of the trade setup, the Entry Trigger and the strategy of using Targets and Trailing Stops. In addition, the way the system is designed to “get trades to breakeven quickly” puts the odds in our favor even more. All these parts fit together and are what gives the System a “statistical edge”.
However, there are considerations that come along with trading this (or any other) system. It sounds easy but it’s important to maintain the right mindset and take the correct approach.
You have to think in terms of probabilities. The outcome of any one Alert or trading session is purely random and at the mercy of how the price action manifests after we take a trade. It’s important not to be swayed by short-term results and take a longer-term perspective. The systems “edge” is revealed over the longer series.
There will be stop-outs and there will be breakeven trades. There will be winning days and losing days. Focusing on the immediate wins and losses are not consistent with trading a system that has a statistical edge. If you think in terms of probabilities, it doesn’t matter whether the next trade is a win or a loss or a breakeven. We want to focus on the long-term statistical advantage rather than individual results.
Wins and losses are mere data points and there’s no need to be overjoyed or disappointed.
Short-term results are random. The law of probabilities works over a large sample size to bring out the system’s edge.
April Has Traditionally Been A Great Month for the System Over the Years
Last month turned out to be a really good month for the ES / MES Momentum System and April has been one of the best months of the year for the system over the years “seasonally speaking”. But as I mentioned quite a few times last month, these aren’t normal market conditions. The market has been extremely volatile since the “military operations” in the Middle East started at the beginning of last month.
But so far so good. Even though the numbers (distance to the stop and targets) have been a lot bigger than normal, the system has been doing great ever since version 5.0 was released.
As we get into April I’ll be using this page to post commentary, notes and charts relating to our trading strategy and whatever else comes to mind. This “notes section” of the website isn’t intended to be a daily recap, but usually gets updated with new material every couple / few days. It’s a good way for me to be able to post educational material and examples of our trading strategy to help new and existing users make the most of our system. Check back every few days.
Additional Useful Information
Moving Beyond the Trade Setup – Futures Trading Strategies to help Increase our Odds – In-Depth Article
March 2026 Commentary – Notes – Education – Examples
PowerEmini Day Trading Futures – Automated Alert Signals